Archives - December 2019





British politics has reached its nadir – but at least Corbynism is over

I won’t be trying another election prediction any time soon. For the third time in four years, I found myself turning in at 4:30am despondent after a seismic result which realigns the Conservative party formally as the Brexit party....



Predicting the 2019 UK General Election

Using a lethal combination of polling data, random number generation and wishful thinking, I have devised a seat-by-seat prediction for Thursday’s general election. This is a critical poll for the direction of the United Kingdom:...